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    WARCEF Trial

    Introduction

         Warfarin is of proven efficacy in patients with ischemic heart disease, in particular in the reduction of stroke, death and re-infarction following myocardial infarction (MI) and in the reduction of stroke in atrial fibrillation (AF). There has been little research testing anti-thrombotic agents in patients with cardiac failure or with left ventricular (LV) systolic dysfunction and warfarin is the most promising unstudied intervention in patients with cardiac failure. This project, the Warfarin versus Aspirin in Reduced Cardiac Ejection Fraction ( WARCEF) trial, aims to define the place of warfarin and aspirin in the management of patients with left ventricular systolic dysfunction.


    Administrative Centers

         WARCEF has two administrative centers:

    • the Clinical Coordinating Center (CCC) in the Department of Cardiology at Columbia University, New York, directed by Shunichi Homma, M.D.

    • the Statistical Analysis Center (SAC) in the Department of Biostatistics at Columbia University, New York, directed by JLP (Seamus) Thompson, Ph.D.

         The CCC is responsible for all clinical operations of the trial. It identifies, recruits, and manages the participating clinical sites, and ensures they meet regulatory requirements; and handles pre-randomization inquiries, ensures eligibility criteria are met, enrolls patients, ensures that treatment protocols are followed, and responds to clinical queries and policy issues arising during the trial.

         The SAC is responsible for all statistical and data management operations of the trial. It developed the statistical design and stopping rules, produces all interim and safety analyses and reviews them with the NINDS-appointed Data Safety and Monitoring Board (DSMB), and prepares analyses for publication. It manages data collection, generates data reports for monitoring bodies, provides datasets for analysis, maintains the trial website, and backs up and secures all data files.


    The Primary Aim

         WARCEF is a two-arm (1:1) double-blind randomized multicenter clinical trial. Its primary aim is to compare the effectiveness of warfarin and aspirin therapies in heart failure patients, while taking account of risk of hemorrhage. The primary null hypothesis is that in patients with EF ≤ 35%, there is no difference between warfarin (INR 2.5-3.0 with a target INR of 2.75) and aspirin(325 mg/day) therapies in time to the first to occur of ischemic stroke, intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), or death. This is tested against the alternative hypothesis of a non-zero difference between these two therapies, at α = .05 twosided, with power of 80% to detect a 17.82% hazard rate reduction (after appropriate allowance for crossover and loss to follow-up), with symmetrical stopping and decision rules. 3201 patients with 2-6 years of follow-up are required.

         Any of the three possible outcomes will be clinically important:

    • If warfarin is better, use of warfarin will be recommended.

    • If aspirin is better, use of aspirin will be recommended.

    • If the evidence is insufficient to declare either better, use of aspirin will be recommended, given its lower cost and easier administration.

         WARCEF is thus expected to be clinically decisive if it is completed with satisfactory power. WARCEF has power of 80% to detect a 17.82% hazard rate reduction in the primary outcome (after appropriate allowance for crossover and loss to follow-up). 3201 patients with 2-6 years of follow-up are required.


    Inclusion criteria

    -  Cardiac EF35% by radionucleide ventriculography, left ventriculography or quantitative echocardiographic measurement or an echocardiographic Wall Motion Index of 1.2, within three months of randomization.

    Exclusion criteria

    - The presence of any of the following unequivocal cardiac sources of embolism: chronic or paroxysmal AF, mechanical valve, endocarditis, intracardiac mobile or pedunculated thrombus, and valvular vegetation.


    Study Medication

         Each randomized patient receives two medications. The first medication is either a 2 mg warfarin tablet, or an identical appearing placebo tablet. The second medication is either a 325 mg aspirin tablet, or an identical appearing placebo tablet. Patients assigned to the warfarin treatment arm will receive warfarin and placebo aspirin. Likewise, patients assigned to the aspirin treatment arm will receive placebo warfarin and aspirin.


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    Please e-mail zqz1@columbia.edu with any general questions.
    This Web site is currently maintained by Michael Zhang.
    © New York Presbyterian Medical Center, Adult Echocardiography Lab, Columbia University
    Last revised
    02/29/2008

     


     
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