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The Epidemiology and Social Ecology of Violence in Public Housing

This project examines crime and violence in New York City's public housing, for the years 1985 through 1994, in relation to the social and structural organization of these developments and their surrounding neighborhoods. Although public housing has come to symbolize the dangers of urban life, there is very little research on crime and violence in public housing, and there is no reliable evidence that crime rates are greater in public housing than in comparably structured neighborhoods with primarily private housing. This research explores the social ecology of public housing by locating public housing within a broader urban context – both spatially and historically.

Several factors are considered to explain differences in crime rates between public housing developments: (1) the structure / design of public housing developments, (2) resident composition and changes in composition over time, (3) crime rates in neighborhoods surrounding public housing, and (4) changes in social and structural composition of neighborhoods around public housing, and (5) changes in policy that affect public housing residents. Using these indicators, we will develop estimates of the social ecology of violence in public housing and surrounding neighborhoods.

The research questions this study will address include:

  • What is the relationship between public housing site design and crime rates in public housing? What characteristics of public housing projects, whether related to the physical structures or residential composition, explain differences in crime rates between projects?
     
  • What characteristics of neighborhoods surrounding public housing developments explain differences in crime rates between projects?
     
  • What are the differences between analyzing overall crime rates versus analyzing crime-specific rates for violent crime and for property crime?
     
  • How are crime rates in public housing related to crime rates in surrounding neighborhoods?
     
  • How do changes in the social and structural composition of surrounding neighborhoods affect crime rates in public housing?


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